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College Football Recruit Rankings - Do They Work?

The short answer:  YES, on average!!  If you do not know what that means and don't understand the implications, please go back to the college you are so passionate about. Can we now stop the inane chatter on the bulletin boards?  

 

STUDIES

Recruiting by the numbers: Why the sites get the rankings right

The Loser's Curse: Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft 

Can Recruiting Rankings Predict the Success of NCAA Division I Football Teams? An Examination of the Relationships among Rivals and Scouts Recruiting Rankings and Jeff Sagarin End-of-Season Ratings in Collegiate Football     *** Highly Recommended ***

Top Recruiting Isn't a Prerequisite for a BCS Berth  - Rivals top 100 vs. 2009 Bowl Games 

BCS Schools Signing Classes 2002-2009 (Rivals)

NFL Player Production by State  

2004-2006 Rivals vs. 2009 Draft 

2004-2008 Location of Recruits vs. Team Winning Percentage

2005-2008 Rivals and Scout vs. Invite to 2009 NFL Combine

2002-2008 Rivals and Scout vs. 2005-2008 All Final Polls  *** Highly Recommended ***

2003-2007 Rivals and Scout vs. 2006-2007 AP Top 25

2004-2008 Rivals vs. 2004-2008 Winning Percentage   *** Highly Recommended ***

2002-2006 Scout and Rivals vs. 2008 USA Today Final Poll

2003-2005 Rivals vs.2008 NFL Draft

2002-2004 Rivals vs. 2006-2008 NFL Drafts  *** Highly Recommended ***

2003-2005 Rivals vs. 2008 NFL Draft

2005 Rivals vs. 2009 NFL Draft

2006 Rivals vs. 2009 NFL Draft

2005-2008 Scout vs. Final AP Rank

2003-2007 Rivals & Scout vs. 2007 All American Teams

 

 

 

 

OTHER ARTICLES OF NOTE

May 2015 - 3 debunked recruiting myths that prove Signing Day is crucial

March 2014 -  Study: NFL Teams Have No Idea What They're Doing In The Draft

March 2014 - The Rankings Still Get It Right

December 2012 - The Geography of College Football Fans (and Realignment Chaos)
 

March 2012 - What’s a 5 Star Really Worth: Predicting Future Team Success Off of Recruiting Rankings

March 2011 - Star Power: How recruiting rankings hold up at the top of the NFL Draft  

March 2011 - Star Power: Judging the recruiting rankings, game by game 

January 2011 - Salary analysis of 2010 Football Bowl Subdivision coaches   

September 2010 - Grading College Athletes
June 2010 - Hotspot Statistics Map of NCAAF I-A Team Fan Areas

2009 College Football Recruiting: How valid is the star rating system 

Versus 2009 Draft - Comparing the Online Recruiting Ranking Services

2009 Rivals, Scout and ESPN  - Averaged Class Rankings

Dumond, An Economic Model of the College Football Recruiting Process

Lawrence, Merkx, Herbert, The Official Visit Experience of the NCAA Recruited Athlete

White, Text Messaging and College Football Recruiting

Rivals 2009 Class - Breakdown

Rivals 2005-2008 Best at Each Position

College Football Recruiting For Beginners Part I: How Are Players Ranked?

MapGameDay.com - National College Football Recruiting Map

A Spatial Analysis of College Football Recruiting

2009 - Athlon Consensus 100